Bearish Technicals and Whale Activity Signal Further LTC Price Decline
22.03.2025 06:29
Litecoin (LTC) has plunged into a deep bear market, trading at $93.80, which marks a 36% drop from its peak this year. The coin is hovering just above its monthly low of $83.33, with technical analysis indicating further downside. On-chain metrics provide a mixed picture: while the number of whale transactions has increased from 167 to 227, suggesting that sophisticated investors are accumulating LTC in anticipation of a rebound (possibly linked to an SEC approval for a spot LTC ETF), other indicators cast a bearish tone. Litecoin’s technical chart features a rising wedge pattern, bearish flag, and a mini death cross as the 50-day and 100-day moving averages cross, pointing to a potential breakdown. Additionally, the MVRV ratio has dropped to its lowest level in months, indicating that the asset is undervalued but still vulnerable. Should LTC break below key support at $112.50 and then fall to approximately $80, it could signal a prolonged downward trajectory, despite the hopes of ETF approval driving some accumulation.
The news presents a predominantly bearish outlook for LTC. While increased whale transactions and steady holder accumulation suggest that institutional or sophisticated investors are buying in anticipation of a rebound (potentially if an SEC-approved ETF emerges), the technical indicators, including the rising wedge, bearish flag, and mini death cross, point to a likely immediate further decline. The falling MVRV ratio reinforces the view that the coin is undervalued, yet this undervaluation could lead to more severe price corrections if technical support fails. In the short term, the coin might see continued downward movement towards the $80 level, whereas long-term recovery will depend largely on positive regulatory developments and a shift in technical momentum.
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