Bitcoin Mining Costs Surge, Threatening Profitability Amid Soaring Hashrates
26.04.2025 01:52
CoinShares has released a report detailing significant increases in Bitcoin (BTC) mining costs following the 2024 halving and a surge in network hashrate. The report reveals that the weighted average cash cost for mining a Bitcoin jumped by 47% from Q3 2024 to Q4 2024, reaching around $82,162, while the adjusted cost stood at approximately $75,767 for most firms. When non-cash expenses were factored in, total costs soared to $137,018, well exceeding Bitcoin’s current market price of about $95,000. Despite this, several miners remain profitable due to rising Bitcoin prices and operational improvements. The report also documents that the Bitcoin network’s hashrate hit a record 900 exahashes per second in Q4, and predicts that the network could hit the symbolic milestone of 1 zettahash/second as early as July 2025, eventually climbing to 2.0 zettahashes/second by early 2027. The report points to a growing consensus that Bitcoin mining is evolving toward a net-zero business model, causing valuation multiples among mining firms to compress, while some companies have countered rising costs with significant efficiency measures.
The report suggests that Bitcoin may face downward price pressure in the short term due to miners experiencing losses when the market price is below augmented production costs. The significantly increased mining expenses, coupled with squeezed profit margins among public firms, point to a potential sell-off if prices do not adjust upward to cover costs. However, long-term factors such as the predicted achievement of higher network hash rate milestones and ongoing technological improvements by some miners could bolster market resilience. The immediate effect is likely to be bearish as investors react to rising operational costs, while deferred technological upgrades may introduce gradual upward momentum in the longer term.
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