The cryptocurrency market is entering a highly eventful period in the fourth week of October 2025, with several altcoins poised for significant moves driven by network upgrades, regulatory developments, and substantial token unlocks. This week's events could determine whether altcoins extend their recent rebound or face further corrections, as traders seek fresh momentum after October's sharp price swings.
COTI (COTI) completed its Hydrogen upgrade just hours ago, aimed at enhancing speed, scalability, and network security. Following the rollout, COTI surged nearly 7%, trading between $0.037 and $0.031. A bullish divergence emerged between October 11 and 19, where price formed a lower low while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a higher low, signaling potential for a short-term reversal. Key resistance levels are at $0.040 and $0.055, but a drop below $0.031 could invalidate the bullish outlook.
Cardano (ADA) is in focus due to soaring odds of a U.S. spot ETF approval, now at 89%, with a final SEC decision expected by October 26. If approved, this would mark a major milestone, enabling institutional exposure similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. On the charts, ADA is trading within an ascending channel, with support from the lower trend line and recent candles showing renewed buying interest. Resistance is at $0.73, and a break above could push prices toward $0.86 or even $1.12–$1.14. However, a fall below $0.61 support could lead to tests at $0.59 or $0.50.
Toncoin (TON) faces a critical test with an $80 million token unlock scheduled for October 23, according to DefiLlama data. Despite this, TON has gained nearly 6% in the past 24 hours, showing resilience. It is currently trading in a descending triangle pattern, with key Fibonacci support levels at $2.15, $1.77, and $1.30. A break below $2.15 could trigger a 21% correction to $1.70, while reclaiming $2.53 might fuel a rally toward $3.07.
Beyond these specific altcoins, the broader market is bracing for over $400 million in token unlocks across various projects this week, as reported by Bitcoinsistemi.com. Major unlocks include LayerZero ($42.92M) on October 20, Zora ($91.43M) on October 23, and GateToken ($106.65M) on October 26, among others. These events could inject fresh volatility and selling pressure into altcoins, compounded by Bitcoin's ongoing struggles amid U.S. economic uncertainty and risk-off sentiment. Analysts caution that the combination of upgrades, ETF decisions, and unlocks may redefine short-term market sentiment, with even small supply-demand shifts having outsized effects.
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