Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a volatile period in October 2025, with analysts presenting conflicting predictions based on historic data and market signals. Bearish indicators suggest a potential drop to $37,000, as Bitcoin has fallen below the short-term holder realized price—a setup that in past cycles preceded declines toward the long-term holder realized price near $37,000. This level is viewed as a stress zone where long-term holders may absorb supply before any recovery.
Conversely, bullish factors highlight technical levels and fundamental support. Bitcoin is testing the 200-day moving average around $108,000, and a daily close above $112,000 to $115,000 could affirm short-term momentum, potentially pushing prices toward $116,000. Steady ETF inflows, totaling hundreds of millions of dollars, and a reduction in coins held on exchanges underscore demand, with whales rebuilding positions below $110,000. Additionally, potential 401(k) access in 2025 could introduce new long-term buyers.
Amid the uncertainty, Remittix is mentioned as a payments-focused project, but the core analysis centers on Bitcoin's price action, influenced by broader risk assets like stocks and banking stress.