Altcoins and Memecoins Face Massive Token Unlocks Amid Volatility Concerns

yesterday / 20:08

The cryptocurrency market is set for a significant week of token unlocks, with multiple altcoins and memecoins scheduled to release over $8 million worth of tokens into circulation. This event follows a week of mixed performance in the crypto space, where some altcoins saw gains while the broader market faced challenges. Token unlocks often introduce supply-side pressure, potentially leading to short-term volatility and price dips as early investors may sell their newly accessible holdings.

Key unlocks include Ethena (ENA), which will unlock $63.03 million worth of tokens on November 4, 2025, at 11:00 UTC+3, representing 2.40% of its $2.62 billion market cap. MEME, a memecoin, leads with a $5.2 million unlock in less than 16 hours, accounting for 5.98% of its supply, and could face temporary price pressure due to recent social-fi integrations. SPEC is set to release $892,000 (11.24% of supply), one of the highest proportional unlocks, while Heroes of Mavia (MAVIA) will unlock $1.05 million on November 5 at 15:00 UTC+3, representing a substantial 20.34% of its $5.12 million market value.

Other notable unlocks feature Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) with $2.84 million (5.16% of market cap) on November 3, StakeStone (STO) with $1.07 million, and SEDA Protocol (FLX) with $1.45 million. The schedule continues with Space and Time (SXT) unlocking $1.23 million on November 7, Movement (MOVE) releasing $3.41 million on November 8, and Baby Shark Universe (BSU) with $1.74 million. Additional projects like BMEX, HONEY, HMX, GFAL, SVL, and WMTX are also part of the unlocks, contributing to a combined value exceeding $8.3 million.

Analysts highlight that low-liquidity projects or those without strong staking incentives are most vulnerable to sell-offs, though established tokens like exchange-affiliated BMEX and HONEY might see steadier absorption. With over $540 million in total token unlocks expected across the market in November, investors are bracing for increased volatility in the altcoin sector as Q4 2025 progresses. However, these events can also create buying opportunities for new participants seeking discounted entry points in projects with active communities and product developments.

ENA $0.36 -8.42%
Fundamental outlook is strongly negative due to the imminent $63M token unlock on November 4, representing 2.4% of market cap. This supply shock creates significant sell pressure as early investors may liquidate holdings. Short-term (1-7 days) price decline is highly probable, with potential 10-20% downside. Long-term recovery depends on market absorption and project fundamentals, but near-term volatility is elevated across altcoins due to broader November unlock schedule exceeding $540M.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators strongly confirm bearish fundamentals: RSI deeply oversold (27.94 on 4H), price below all key EMAs (0.37 vs 0.40/0.43), and negative momentum across timeframes. Volume divergence suggests weak buying interest ahead of unlock.
MEME $0.001466 -7.27%
MEME faces strong negative pressure from a $5.2M token unlock representing 5.98% of supply within 16 hours. This substantial dilution creates immediate selling pressure from early investors. While recent social-fi integrations provide some fundamental support, the unlock magnitude outweighs adoption benefits. Short-term price decline is highly probable, with potential 10-15% downside. Long-term recovery depends on community absorption and broader market conditions post-unlock volatility.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators confirm bearish momentum with RSI at 31.57 (1h) in oversold territory, ADX at 41.02 showing strong trend, and volume below 20-period average. Stochastic at 10.91 indicates extreme selling pressure, aligning with fundamental unlock risks.
SPEC $0.23 -11.18%
SPEC faces significant near-term bearish pressure from an upcoming token unlock of $892K (11.24% of supply), one of the highest proportional unlocks in the market. This substantial supply increase creates high selling risk from early investors, particularly concerning given current market volatility. Short-term likely sees price decline around unlock date, but potential recovery opportunity emerges post-unlock if project fundamentals remain intact. Long-term depends on community strength and development progress to absorb dilution.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators confirm bearish setup: RSI at 36-42 across timeframes shows oversold conditions, ADX above 50 indicates strong downtrend, and volume patterns suggest weak buying interest. Current price below key EMAs supports continued downward pressure.
MAVIA $0.09046 -8.99%
MAVIA faces significant short-term bearish pressure from a major token unlock on November 5, representing 20.34% of its $5.12M market cap. This substantial supply increase in a low-liquidity project creates high vulnerability to sell-offs. While the unlock may create discounted entry opportunities long-term, immediate price pressure is expected as early investors likely liquidate positions. The $1.05M unlock represents massive dilution relative to market size.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators confirm bearish outlook: RSI at 39 (4h) shows weakness, ADX at 73 indicates strong downtrend, and momentum negative across timeframes. Volume divergence suggests lack of buyer interest ahead of unlock.
ICNT $0.31 +14.50%
ICNT faces immediate bearish pressure from a $2.84M token unlock on November 3, representing 5.16% of market cap. This supply dilution typically triggers selling from early investors, creating short-term downside risk. However, the 4h timeframe shows strong momentum (RSI 67, MACD positive) and established uptrend (EMA20 > EMA50), suggesting potential recovery after initial sell-off. Long-term outlook depends on project fundamentals and market absorption of new supply.
Technical analysis
4h indicators show bullish momentum (RSI 67, MACD positive) and strong trend (ADX 60.88) but overbought conditions. Current volume is extremely low vs 20-period average, suggesting weak participation that may not absorb unlock selling pressure.
Sources
Watch Out: New Week Brings Massive Token Unlocks for 8 Altcoins – Here’s the Day-by-Day, Hour-by-Hour List
Bitcoin Sistemi 02.11.2025 19:50
$5.3M in Token Unlocks Loom Over Meme Coins and Emerging Projects This Week
ethnews.com 02.11.2025 16:30
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