Massive Token Unlocks Threaten Altcoin Market with Increased Supply Pressure

Nov 9, 2025, 9:15 p.m. 10 sources negative
LINEA
STRK STRK $0.07081 -3.00%
ARB ARB $0.18 -1.29%
APT APT $1.58 +1.40%
SEI SEI $0.11 +0.18%

The cryptocurrency market faces a wave of token unlocks this week, with over 20 altcoins scheduled to release millions of dollars worth of tokens into circulation, potentially exacerbating recent price declines. This comes amid a mixed market performance, where Bitcoin dropped to a low of $98,860, and overall market capitalization fell to $3.4 trillion.

Key token unlocks include Linea (LINEA), which will unlock $32.49 million (16.34% of its market cap) on November 10 at 15:00 UTC+3, and StarkNet (STRK), releasing $19.34 million (2.81% of market cap) on November 15 at 15:00. Other significant unlocks feature Arbitrum (ARB) at $28.14 million (1.70% of market cap) on November 16, Aptos (APT) at $36.35 million (1.57% of market cap) on November 12, and Sei (SEI) with $21 million worth of tokens. High-impact unlocks also involve WalletConnect Token (WCT), releasing $16.38 million (70.50% of market cap) on November 15, and Nereus Token (NRS) at $2.60 million (51.13% of market cap) on November 11.

Additionally, Circle Internet's earnings report this week is under scrutiny, with analysts expecting revenue of $700 million last quarter, as its stock has plunged over 65% from all-time highs. USDC's growth has stalled, with transaction volume dropping 24% to $2.4 trillion and addresses falling 6% to 13.2 million in the last 30 days.

LINEA
LINEA faces significant bearish pressure from a $32.49 million token unlock representing 16.34% of market cap on November 10. This substantial supply increase coincides with broader market weakness, creating strong downward momentum. Short-term price action will likely test lower support levels as unlocked tokens enter circulation. Long-term recovery depends on market absorption of new supply and broader altcoin sentiment improvement. The unlock magnitude suggests extended selling pressure over 1-2 weeks.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed signals with RSI neutral (53-58) but momentum weakening on higher timeframes. Volume below average (RVOL 0.18-0.35) suggests lack of buyer interest. ADX declining indicates weakening trend strength, unable to counter fundamental supply pressure.
STRK STRK $0.07081 -3.00%
Fundamental outlook is bearish due to the upcoming $19.34M token unlock on Nov 15, representing 2.81% of market cap. This supply influx coincides with broader market weakness, creating strong selling pressure. Short-term price action will likely test support levels as unlock approaches. Long-term depends on whether new demand absorbs the additional supply, but immediate reaction favors downside.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed signals: RSI at 64.66 (4h) approaches overbought while ADX at 47.05 indicates strong trend. Volume remains below 20-period average, suggesting weak participation. Current price near pivot resistance at $0.15 faces selling pressure.
ARB ARB $0.18 -1.29%
ARB faces significant fundamental headwinds from a $28.14 million token unlock on November 16, representing 1.70% of market cap. This supply inflation occurs amid broader market weakness with Bitcoin declining to $98,860. The unlock timing coincides with multiple altcoin releases totaling over $100 million, creating concentrated selling pressure. Short-term price action will likely test support levels as unlocked tokens enter circulation. Long-term impact depends on whether the additional supply is absorbed by demand or triggers sustained selling. Market sentiment remains cautious given the scale of simultaneous unlocks across the ecosystem.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed signals with RSI at neutral 54-58 across timeframes, but volume is significantly below 20-day average (142k vs 638k on 15m). ADX above 28 suggests trending market, while MACD near zero indicates weak momentum. Low volume suggests lack of buyer interest ahead of unlock.
APT APT $1.58 +1.40%
The $36.35M APT token unlock on November 12 represents 1.57% of market cap, creating immediate supply pressure during broader market weakness. While the percentage dilution is moderate compared to other altcoins, it occurs amid Bitcoin's decline to $98,860 and falling total market cap. This fundamental headwind suggests short-term downward pressure as unlocked tokens potentially enter circulation. Long-term impact depends on whether selling pressure materializes and broader market recovery. The unlock timing during market fragility amplifies negative sentiment.
Technical analysis
Technicals show mixed signals with RSI at 61-66 across timeframes indicating neutral momentum. Strong ADX (34-55) confirms established trend direction while volume remains below 20-period averages. Current price near EMAs suggests consolidation but momentum indicators are weakening from recent highs.
SEI SEI $0.11 +0.18%
SEI faces significant bearish pressure from upcoming $21M token unlock amid broader market weakness. The supply inflation event coincides with Bitcoin's decline below $99K and falling total market cap, creating strong headwinds. While the unlock percentage relative to market cap isn't specified, the timing during market-wide sell pressure suggests high probability of continued downside. Short-term sentiment remains negative as unlocked tokens typically create immediate selling pressure from early investors and team members seeking liquidity.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed but concerning signals: RSI at 59-63 across timeframes suggests weakening momentum from overbought levels. Volume remains below 20-period averages, indicating lack of buyer interest. Price trading below key EMAs (20 & 50) confirms bearish near-term structure despite moderate ADX readings.
Sources
Crypto market news this week: Circle earnings and key token unlocks
crypto.news 09.11.2025 19:00
Watch Out: Massive Token Unlocking in 20 Altcoins This Week – Here’s the Day-by-Day, Hour-by-Hour List
Bitcoin Sistemi 09.11.2025 21:01
Essential Token Unlocks: This Week’s $36.2M APT Release and Market Impact
bitcoinworld.co.in 10.11.2025 00:50
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