Critical Token Unlocks This Week: ZRO's $36.8M Release Highlights Altcoin Supply Surge

Nov 17, 2025, 12:57 a.m. 10 sources neutral
ZRO
KAITO
MBG
SOON
ASTER ASTER $0.69 +0.14%

This week, from November 17 to 23, 2025, the cryptocurrency market faces a series of significant token unlock events, with LayerZero (ZRO) leading the pack by releasing 25.71 million tokens valued at approximately $36.76 million on November 20 at 2:00 a.m. UTC, representing 7.29% of its circulating supply. According to data from Tokenomist, this unlock is part of a broader trend that could reshape market dynamics and investor sentiment.

Other major unlocks include Kaito (KAITO) unlocking 8.35 million tokens worth $6.16 million on November 20, MBG releasing 15.84 million tokens valued at $7.23 million on November 22, and SOON distributing 15.21 million tokens worth $29.66 million on November 22. Additionally, numerous other altcoins are scheduled for unlocks, such as Aster (ASTER) with a $147.72 million release on November 17, though its larger market cap of $2.47 billion means the unlock constitutes 5.95% of circulating supply.

Token unlocks refer to the scheduled release of previously locked or vested tokens into circulating supply, often impacting market supply dynamics and potentially creating selling pressure if early investors or team members decide to sell. Historical data shows that such events can trigger temporary price volatility, with unlocks exceeding 5% of circulating supply—like ZRO's 7.29% and ASTER's 5.95%—being particularly significant. The cumulative effect of these unlocks, occurring amidst a market downturn where Bitcoin fell below $94,000, underscores the need for strategic investor approaches, including monitoring trading volumes and diversifying exposures.

ZRO
The upcoming token unlock of 25.71M ZRO ($36.8M) representing 7.29% of circulating supply on Nov 20 creates significant fundamental headwinds. Historical data shows unlocks exceeding 5% typically trigger selling pressure and volatility, especially during broader market downturns. Combined with Bitcoin's decline below $94K, this suggests strong negative sentiment. Short-term (1-7 days) likely sees price decline toward $1.40-$1.42 as unlock approaches. Long-term (1-3 months) depends on whether selling pressure is absorbed, but initial reaction should be bearish.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed signals but lean bearish confirmation. 4h RSI at 40.34 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD negative and declining momentum support downside. Volume remains below 20-period average across timeframes, indicating weak buying interest ahead of unlock.
KAITO
KAITO faces significant fundamental headwinds with an $6.16 million token unlock on November 20, representing substantial supply inflation. This event occurs amid broader market weakness with Bitcoin below $94k, creating perfect conditions for selling pressure. The unlock could trigger 10-15% short-term declines as vested tokens enter circulation. Long-term recovery depends on whether the increased supply is absorbed by demand, but current market sentiment suggests cautious positioning is warranted through late November.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed signals with RSI neutral (47-60) but momentum turning negative on 4h timeframe. Volume is below average across timeframes, suggesting weak buying interest. ADX at 49 on 4h confirms strong downtrend, supporting bearish fundamental outlook.
MBG
MBG faces significant bearish pressure from its upcoming token unlock on November 22, releasing 15.84M tokens worth $7.23M into circulation. This supply increase during a broader market downturn creates fundamental selling pressure. While the unlock represents moderate dilution, combined with other major unlocks this week, it likely exacerbates negative sentiment. Short-term price decline is probable as early investors may liquidate positions. Long-term recovery depends on market-wide conditions and whether the increased liquidity attracts new buyers.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators show mixed but leaning bearish confirmation. RSI at 35.41 on 4h timeframe indicates oversold conditions, but weak momentum (MACD neutral) and declining volume suggest lack of buying interest. Current price below key EMAs confirms downtrend, supporting fundamental sell pressure narrative.
SOON
SOON faces significant fundamental headwinds with a $29.66 million token unlock representing substantial supply inflation on November 22. This event occurs amid broader market weakness and multiple altcoin unlocks, creating concentrated selling pressure. Historically, unlocks exceeding 5% of circulating supply trigger temporary price volatility and downward pressure as early investors monetize positions. The timing during Bitcoin's decline below $94,000 exacerbates negative sentiment, suggesting high probability of short-term price depreciation with potential for 10-15% decline around unlock date.
Technical analysis
Technical indicators confirm bearish outlook: RSI at 41-51 shows weakening momentum, MACD negative on higher timeframes, price trading below key EMAs (20/50) indicating downtrend. Volume below 20-period average suggests lack of buyer interest ahead of unlock event.
ASTER ASTER $0.69 +0.14%
ASTER faces significant near-term headwinds from today's $147.72 million token unlock representing 5.95% of circulating supply. Historical data shows unlocks exceeding 5% typically trigger selling pressure and volatility, particularly concerning given the broader market downturn. While ASTER's $2.47B market cap provides some absorption capacity, the timing amid Bitcoin weakness and multiple altcoin unlocks creates concentrated selling risk. Short-term likely sees downward pressure; long-term depends on whether fundamental demand can absorb the increased supply.
Technical analysis
Technicals show mixed signals with RSI neutral (54-67 across timeframes) but momentum indicators (MACD positive, CCI elevated) suggesting recent uptrend. However, current volume is significantly below 20-period average (15m: 27% of MA), indicating weak participation that may not withstand unlock selling pressure.
Sources
Watch Out: Heavy Token Unlocking in 20 Altcoins This Week – Here’s the Day-by-Day, Hour-by-Hour List
Bitcoin Sistemi 16.11.2025 20:19
Crucial Token Unlocks This Week: $36.8M ZRO Release and Market Impact Analysis
bitcoinworld.co.in 17.11.2025 00:40
Massive Token Unlocks Hit the Market as TON Leads This Week’s Release Cycle
coinfomania.com 17.11.2025 07:22
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