BNB Price at Risk: 20% Downside Possible if $900 Support Fails

BNB, the native token of BNB Chain, is facing a critical test as its price hovers near key support levels amid mixed signals from network activity and technical indicators. After hitting an all-time high of $1,370 in October, BNB has reversed sharply, with current trading around $913, down over 5% in the last 24 hours and 23% monthly.

On-chain data from BSC Scan shows a significant decline in daily transactions, which peaked at 31.3 million on October 8 but have since dropped by approximately 50%, attributed to forced liquidations and cooling market sentiment. This reduction in network activity raises concerns about BNB's ability to reclaim higher price levels.

Technically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 30, indicating oversold conditions, and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $883 acts as a strong resistance. If BNB fails to hold the $900 support, analysts predict a potential drop to $750 or $680, representing a 20% downside risk.

Despite bearish pressures, BNB Chain demonstrates growth with 12–17 million daily transactions, 58 million monthly users, and a Total Value Locked (TVL) of $7.54 billion. The Yellow Season roadmap introduces upgrades like faster block times and gasless transactions, while protocols like Aster DEX and PancakeSwap support ecosystem resilience with high trading volumes.