Analyst Declares XRP Enters Neutral Phase, Projects $21.5 Target Based on Historical Pattern

yesterday / 23:25 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • XRP's breakout from a symmetrical triangle suggests a potential rally to $21.5, contingent on surpassing its previous all-time high.
  • The 'neutral state' entry indicates a shift from accumulation to a potential parabolic growth phase for XRP.
  • Investors should monitor the MACD and Stochastic Oscillator for confirmation of the projected Phase 4 acceleration.

Crypto analyst and data expert CW has announced that XRP has broken out from its bottom and entered a neutral state, which historically marks the early stage of a larger bull rally. According to CW's analysis, this shift represents the beginning of "Phase 4" in a repeated four-phase pattern that XRP has followed across multiple market cycles.

The analyst shared a detailed chart showing XRP's historical behavior, first from 2014 to 2018 and again from 2017 to the present. In this pattern, Phase 1 involves a sharp breakout to a first target (TP1), setting a new all-time high. Phase 2 forms a Symmetrical Triangle where the price moves sideways within a tightening range for several months. Phase 3 is a long consolidation period, and Phase 4 is the final surge to a second all-time high.

CW notes that XRP has already completed Phases 1-3 in the current cycle. After hitting its first peak around $3.5 (TP1) earlier in 2025, the cryptocurrency recently broke above the upper boundary of a similar Symmetrical Triangle pattern, entering what the analyst calls a "neutral state." The analyst emphasizes that a decisive move above the previous all-time high will act as the key signal for price acceleration.

Based on this historical pattern and Fibonacci extension levels, CW has projected a second new all-time high for XRP near $21.5, aligning with the 6.618 Fibonacci extension level from the 2014 cycle. Technical indicators support this outlook: the Stochastic Oscillator shows that during Phase 4 of previous cycles, it spiked toward overbought levels coinciding with strong breakouts, while the MACD histogram rapidly expanded during breakout periods.

The analyst's tweet from January 14, 2026, states: "$XRP has broken out of bottom and entered neutral state. The rally is only just beginning. A breakout of the ATH will signal the launch of a rocket." This technical setup positions XRP for what could be its most significant move in the current 2026 financial cycle, with the market accumulating strength for a potential parabolic growth phase.

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