PEPE Price at Critical Juncture: Analysts See Potential for Major Rally or Further Decline

Jan 22, 2026, 4:54 p.m. 4 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • PEPE's fate hinges on Bitcoin's price action, making it a high-beta proxy for broader market sentiment.
  • Watch the $0.0000045 support; a decisive break could invalidate the bullish higher-low structure.
  • Surged trading volume amid consolidation suggests a volatile breakout is imminent, likely following Bitcoin's lead.

Meme coin Pepe (PEPE) is at a pivotal technical moment, with analysts divided on whether its current price level represents a prime buying opportunity or a precursor to further losses. The token's fate is closely tied to broader market sentiment, particularly Bitcoin's price action.

Currently trading around $0.00000490 to $0.000005136, PEPE has seen mixed performance, with a 4.81% drop over 24 hours but a 30% gain over the past month. Trading volume has surged 42%, indicating heightened interest. The price is consolidating within a multi-month descending wedge pattern, testing a crucial demand zone between $0.0000048 and $0.0000045, which has historically acted as strong support.

Analyst "davie satoshi" on X highlighted PEPE's sensitivity to Bitcoin, stating, "With bitcoin dropping, all meme coins are going to get hurt. $PEPE will likely drop a lot more if bitcoin falls to $85k and even more if it drops to $75k." However, the analyst remains bullish long-term, asserting, "Whatever happens, $PEPE will rebound and begin its march back up."

The bullish case hinges on a successful breakout. If PEPE holds above support and breaks the descending trendline, technical analysis points to a potential rally toward $0.0000070, with a longer-term target of $0.0000100. Some analysts note that PEPE has already completed a weekly breakout above its long-term descending trendline, retested it as support, and is forming a higher low—a structure that often precedes a significant expansion cycle.

Conversely, a confirmed break below the $0.0000045 support could trigger a deeper sell-off toward the $0.0000038 level. The coming days are seen as decisive for setting PEPE's short-term trend direction.

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