Crypto analyst Cryptosahintas has presented a detailed analysis of Avalanche (AVAX), outlining two primary price scenarios without a definitive bias toward either outcome. The analysis suggests AVAX is entering a decisive phase where patience and positioning around critical levels will be key.
The first scenario, marked by a red arrow on the chart, involves a short-term reaction rally toward the $22.5 area, potentially followed by a pullback toward the $11 region. This move could allow the market to reset and form a healthier rising structure over time.
The second scenario, represented by a black arrow, suggests a deeper initial dip toward the $8.5 zone. From there, price could recover back toward $22.5 before another retracement into the broader $8–$10 band, which could also establish a foundation for a new upward trend.
The analyst emphasized that both scenarios highlight logical areas for positioning from a risk-to-reward standpoint. The common strategy is to wait with a plan rather than chase price from higher levels, advocating for a disciplined approach in the current market structure. The analyst's personal average entry lies within the $22–24 range, with intentions to offload positions around these levels if an intermediate rally develops, then wait patiently to reassess opportunities in the $10–8 zone.
Separately, a broader price prediction analysis for AVAX from 2026 to 2030 explores whether the token can realistically surge to $100. The analysis incorporates technical indicators, network fundamentals like Avalanche's unique Snow consensus mechanism and subnet architecture, and broader market dynamics. It notes Avalanche's position as a leading layer-1 platform with growing institutional adoption.
Projections for 2026 vary based on analytical methods. Conservative targets range from $35-55, moderate targets from $55-80, and optimistic targets from $75-100. The long-term outlook through 2030 suggests the $100 milestone is ambitious but potentially achievable, contingent on factors like sustained network adoption, successful technology upgrades, favorable regulations, and broader crypto market expansion. The analysis consistently warns of inherent market volatility and external risk factors.