Crypto analysts are presenting contrasting views on the future trajectory of XRP, with one highlighting a historical dominance pattern signaling potential imminent upside, while another projects a delayed major pump until late 2028.
Analyst Bird's Dominance Thesis: Developer and analyst Bird argues that XRP's share of the total cryptocurrency market, or dominance, has consistently signaled its entry into parabolic price phases. His analysis identifies two key horizontal levels on long-term XRP dominance charts. A lower level has acted as critical support, while an upper level near 6% dominance has functioned as a trigger point for explosive rallies.
Bird notes that when XRP dominance holds above the lower support and breaks through the 6% threshold, it has historically preceded major price expansions, as seen in the 2014-2015 and 2017-2018 cycles. In 2021, dominance reached but failed to hold above this level, coinciding with XRP topping out. Currently, Bird points to three consecutive bounces off the long-term support, suggesting building pressure and a potential setup for another breakout. He asserts that a sustained break above 6% dominance could signal a move into price discovery and all-time highs for XRP.
Analyst BRUH's Long-Term Projection: In contrast, analyst BRUH pushes back against near-term breakout speculation, projecting the next major XRP pump will arrive in Q4 2028. He bases this on XRP's historical cycle behavior, noting the asset typically undergoes deep drawdowns of 85%-96% and prolonged accumulation phases lasting 850-900 days before rallying late in broader bull cycles.
BRUH states that XRP's current phase is one of extended accumulation, with potential for a further 10%-15% downside before a final bottom. He links the delayed timeline to past regulatory pressures, like the SEC case and Coinbase delisting, which suppressed price but did not eliminate upside potential. For the next cycle peak, BRUH outlines a more conservative price target range of $7 to $10, criticizing more extreme projections like $27 or $100 as inconsistent with historical gains. He also warns of a sharp post-peak correction, historically between 60% and 90%.
