Solana (SOL) Breaks Below $100 Amid Market-Wide Selloff, Bitcoin Recovers from 15-Month Low

Feb 4, 2026, 11:13 a.m. 7 sources negative

Key takeaways:

  • Solana's record-high utility fails to support price, indicating a severe disconnect between network activity and investor sentiment.
  • The market's extreme fear suggests potential for a short-term bounce, but macro headwinds from the Fed and geopolitics remain dominant.
  • Watch for SOL to hold $85; a break below could trigger accelerated selling given its position below all major moving averages.

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a dramatic drop to a 15-month low of $73,000 on Tuesday before recovering slightly to just over $76,000. The primary cryptocurrency has lost 14% of its value over the past week and 18% over the month, with its market capitalization falling to $1.525 trillion. Analysts attribute the recent volatility to the Federal Reserve's decision not to cut interest rates and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The broader altcoin market followed Bitcoin's lead with heightened volatility. Solana (SOL) was among the hardest hit, plunging below the critical $100 psychological level after a 7% daily decline. It is currently the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies, trading around $96. Ethereum (ETH) also saw significant pressure, dropping from over $3,000 to $2,100 in a week before a minor bounce to $2,280.

On-chain data presents a contradictory picture for Solana. The network recorded a record 150 million daily transactions on Tuesday, equating to 1,743 transactions per second. However, this strong utility has not translated into positive price action or institutional demand. U.S. Solana-focused ETFs saw modest inflows of $1.24 million on Tuesday, building on $5.58 million from Monday.

Market sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish. The total crypto market cap shed over $70 billion in a day, falling to $2.65 trillion. The derivatives market shows capital flowing out of Solana, with Open Interest (OI) declining 1.24% to $6.65 billion and long liquidations ($22.31 million) far exceeding short liquidations ($4.39 million). The Fear and Greed Index sits at 14, indicating "extreme fear" in the market.

Technical analysis suggests SOL could be headed toward the $85 support level if it fails to reclaim the $100 resistance. The token is trading below all its major Exponential Moving Averages (50-day at $127, 100-day at $139, 200-day at $153), and key indicators like the MACD and RSI point to oversold conditions and a strong bearish bias.

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