AI Models Predict Further Declines for XRP and ADA as Bear Market Intensifies

yesterday / 11:18 1 sources negative

Key takeaways:

  • XRP's breach of $1.00 could trigger accelerated selling, testing the $0.60 support level from early 2024.
  • ADA's breakdown below $0.30 signals a structural bearish shift, with $0.20 as the next critical support to watch.
  • The AI consensus on further downside for XRP and ADA reflects extreme negative sentiment and capitulation among altcoin holders.

Recent market turmoil has pushed major altcoins XRP and Cardano's ADA to multi-year lows, prompting analysis from leading artificial intelligence models. The predictions, gathered from ChatGPT, Perplexity, Grok, and Gemini, paint a concerning picture for both assets, suggesting the current downturn may have further to run.

XRP's Precipitous Fall and AI Forecasts

XRP became the worst performer during a recent Thursday crash, dropping to just over $1.10 for the first time in over a year. This represents a loss of more than 50% of its value in just a month, having peaked at $2.40 on January 6. ChatGPT noted this plunge signifies a clear shift in market structure, not just a healthy correction. The AI suggested that if bearish behavior continues, XRP could fall to a range between $0.85 and $0.95. Perplexity largely agreed with this target, calling it a "realistic bear-cycle low target if broader capitulation unfolds."

Gemini highlighted the critical psychological support at $1.00, warning that a break below this level could lead to an exponential worsening of XRP's situation as investors flee. In such a scenario, Gemini predicted a potential crash to around $0.60, which would complete a full circle back to its levels from the 2024 US presidential elections. Grok offered a slightly more optimistic, albeit conditional, outlook. It outlined a scenario where XRP could have bottomed at $1.10, potentially trading sideways between $1.10 and $1.45 before attempting a rebound above $1.60. However, Grok warned that a breakdown below $1.00 would invalidate this case and open the door for declines under $0.90.

Cardano's ADA Faces a 'Falling Knife' Scenario

Cardano's ADA has faced even more severe pressure, dropping to $0.222—its lowest level since June 2023—before a slight recovery to $0.27. The token is down 34% monthly and has plunged 80% from its cycle top of $1.33 in late 2024. ChatGPT described the decline as a "structural breakdown of long-term support," with weakened buy-the-dip demand. It identified $0.20 as a critical "line in the sand." A break below could lead to a target of $0.15-$0.16, with an extreme capitulation scenario seeing ADA plummet to $0.10-$0.12.

Gemini characterized ADA's daily chart as a "falling knife," with the breakdown below $0.30 acting as the "final nail in the coffin for many long-term holders." It presented a "nightmare" scenario where, if Bitcoin were to capitulate to $55,000, ADA could lose its status as a major altcoin. A breakdown below $0.15 could then create a liquidity vacuum, pulling the price down to $0.09. Both AIs emphasized that such severe declines, while shocking, align with historical patterns where large-cap altcoins lose 80-90% of their value during crypto winters.

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