Decred Defies Market Downturn with 16% Surge, Bitcoin and Major Altcoins Face Selling Pressure

3 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Decred's governance upgrade demonstrates how protocol-level changes can drive outperformance even in bearish macro conditions.
  • Institutional put buying at $60K suggests professional investors are positioning for potential Bitcoin downside over the next 6-12 months.
  • Profit-taking in DCR spot markets highlights the risk of chasing rallies during periods of declining overall futures open interest.

Decred (DCR) has emerged as a standout performer in a struggling broader cryptocurrency market, gaining 16% in the past 24 hours to trade at $34.58, its highest price since November. The token has surged more than 80% over the past four weeks, making it the best-performing top-100 cryptocurrency. This rally is attributed to a February 8 change to its treasury rules, which has bolstered investor confidence in its autonomous and decentralized governance model.

In stark contrast, the wider market is facing significant headwinds. Bitcoin (BTC) is down 2% on a 24-hour basis, trading around $67,000 after failing to sustain a bounce to $70,000 on Wednesday. Major altcoins like Ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), and Solana (SOL) have registered similar losses, with the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) also in the red.

Market sentiment remains cautious, with a clear tilt towards downside protection. Deribit data reveals that ETF holders and corporate treasuries are actively buying Bitcoin put options at the $60,000 strike price, expiring in six to twelve months. Cumulative crypto futures open interest has fallen to recent multi-month lows of approximately $93.5 billion, indicating that the optimism from Wednesday's bounce has quickly dissipated. The market-wide long-short ratio shows a dominance of short positions, and most large-cap tokens are seeing negative perpetual funding rates.

Analysts advise caution. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of crypto exchange Giottus.com, suggested in an email that "long-term investors may consider staggered accumulation (SIP-style allocation) near support zones rather than deploying lump sums at resistance." Participation in CME Bitcoin futures is also waning, with open interest hitting its lowest levels this year.

Separately, AI-linked tokens saw a boost following Nvidia's blowout earnings and positive commentary from CEO Jensen Huang. The DFINITY Foundation's proposal to burn 20% of cloud engine revenue for the Internet Computer (ICP) – introducing a deflationary mechanism tied to network usage – also provided a tailwind. ICP's price rose roughly 6%, alongside other AI-focused tokens like Render (RENDER) and Bittensor (TAO).

Despite Decred's strong technical momentum, with indicators like the Aroon Up at 100.5% signaling bullish control, spot market data suggests some investors are taking profits. Weekly spot netflow data shows approximately $745,000 worth of DCR being sold, marking the third-largest weekly sell-off for the asset since 2022. Analysts note that if this selling pressure continues into the weekend's typically thinner liquidity, DCR could face a steeper correction.

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