Block's AI-Driven Layoffs Trigger Market Shifts: Stock Up, Traditional Finance Fears Rise

2 hour ago 1 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Block's AI-driven layoffs signal a structural shift towards automation that could pressure traditional financial stocks.
  • Strong Cash App metrics validate Block's growth narrative, justifying the bullish analyst upgrades despite workforce cuts.
  • Investors should monitor if Block's margin expansion from AI efficiency sustains amid potential operational disruption risks.

Block, Inc. (XYZ) announced a massive workforce reduction of approximately 40%, cutting headcount to around 6,000 employees, while simultaneously receiving significant stock price target upgrades from major Wall Street banks. The company, led by CEO Jack Dorsey, framed the cuts as a strategic move to leverage artificial intelligence for greater efficiency and to position for its "next phase of long-term growth." CFO Amrita Ahuja emphasized the margin improvement was driven by business improvements, not weakness.

The announcement, made alongside Q4 2025 earnings, sent Block's stock surging roughly 17% in pre-market trading on Friday. Morgan Stanley upgraded Block from Hold to Buy, raising its price target to $93 from $72. Analyst James Faucette cited "faster growth and an expanded TAM" due to product improvements and flexible pricing. He revised his 2026 EPS estimate up to $3.81 from $3.19 and his 2027 estimate to $5.19 from $4.10.

Bank of America also raised its price target to $86 from $75, maintaining a Buy rating. Analyst Jason Kupferberg highlighted Block's guidance for 18% gross profit growth in 2026 and an expected rise in adjusted operating income margin to 26% from 20%. Wall Street consensus on XYZ is a Strong Buy, with an average price target of $86.08 implying about 58% upside.

The news showcased Block's strong operational momentum. Cash App gross profit rose 33% in Q4 2025, with monthly active users reaching 59 million. Consumer lending originations jumped 69% year-over-year, and Cash App Borrow originations surged 223%. On the Seller side, gross payment volume has been accelerating since Q2 2025.

However, the AI-driven layoffs sparked fears of broader industry disruption, negatively impacting traditional financial firms. American Express (AXP) stock fell nearly 8% on Friday as investors questioned the vulnerability of established players to similar automation trends. The sell-off was accompanied by heavy put option activity, with a put-to-call ratio jumping to 2.6, indicating traders were bracing for further declines. AXP is now down 11.39% year-to-date.

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