The recent crypto market resurgence has sparked debate over whether XRP has found its local bottom. After plunging to a 15-month low of $1.11 on February 5, the token rebounded to trade around $1.45, marking a 30% increase from that low. This recovery coincides with a broader market uptick, leading analysts to consult AI models for insights.
ChatGPT's analysis suggests XRP found solid support at the $1.10-$1.15 "panic low" and is now trading above another key structural support at $1.30-$1.35. It assigns a 50% probability that the bottom is in, stating that if $1.30 holds and market sentiment improves, XRP could target $1.65, then the psychological $2.00 level, and the January peak of $2.40. ChatGPT predicts XRP could reach $2.50-$3.00 within 6-12 months if the crypto market enters a new expansion phase. It also gives a 30% chance of a prolonged accumulation phase between $1.20 and $1.90, and only a 20% chance of a bearish drop below $1.10 absent a major black swan event.
Gemini and Grok largely concur with this assessment. Gemini states it is "highly likely that the $1.11 local bottom is in," noting higher lows are holding. Grok highlights recent ecosystem developments, including a major adoption move where the US Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) added Hidden Road Partners CIV US LLC to its directory. This NSCC update allows Ripple Prime to route institutional post-trade volumes directly onto the XRP Ledger. Grok suggests that if such moves continue, XRP could target $2.00-$2.15 in the near term and $2.80-$3.30 by year-end.
Separately, an analysis using ChatGPT explores XRP's price potential if Bitcoin reaches $100,000 in April 2026. Historical data since January 2024 shows a strong positive correlation (0.6-0.8) between BTC and XRP, with XRP frequently exhibiting larger percentage swings. For instance, from January 2024 to March 2026, BTC gained approximately 55% (from ~$42,280 to ~$65,734), while XRP surged about 119% (from ~$0.6157 to ~$1.35). During strong rallies, XRP often moves 1.5 to 2 times the percentage change of Bitcoin.
Applying this framework, a 37% Bitcoin rally from its current ~$73,000 to $100,000 could translate to a 70-75% increase for XRP. With XRP trading near $1.40, this would place its price close to $2.45. The analysis notes that XRP tends to lag slightly early in cycles before accelerating once the broader market strengthens, but also experiences sharper pullbacks due to its higher volatility.
