Jordi Visser, a financial expert with over 30 years of macro investing experience, argues that Bitcoin is poised for a significant surge as it becomes a critical "exit point" during global economic instability. In an extensive interview with Anthony Pompliano, Visser outlined a perfect storm for Bitcoin, driven by rising commodity prices, credit market congestion, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East affecting oil prices and energy infrastructure.
Visser explained that institutional investors are currently "paralyzed," and the rapid inflation in basic commodities like gasoline and diesel has not yet been fully reflected in official data, setting the stage for a market shock. He identified ongoing credit problems as the primary catalyst for Bitcoin, stating, "The best thing for Bitcoin is that the credit problems, which I believe cannot be solved on their own, continue."
Bitcoin's unique position at the intersection of technology and commodity scarcity was highlighted. While software assets face deflation from AI advancements, hardware and commodities experience inflation. Bitcoin, with its limited supply, acts as both a technological growth asset and a hard commodity. Visser also noted a geographical shift in Bitcoin interest from China and Asia toward the Middle East, where young leaders and sovereign wealth funds are increasingly favoring digital assets over traditional gold.
He emphasized that Bitcoin's performance could see a major surge when the Federal Reserve is forced to pivot its focus from inflation to combating economic recession and deflation. "When the liquidity story becomes a real problem, Bitcoin will stand out as a high-volume, 24-hour trading asset," Visser concluded.
Concurrently, Bitcoin's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is approaching a historically significant "deep value zone." According to analysis from CryptoQuant, the MVRV ratio—which compares Bitcoin's market cap to the aggregate cost basis of its holders—has declined from above 2.40 at the cycle peak to a current reading of 1.36. A ratio below 1.0 indicates Bitcoin is trading below the average price investors paid, a zone that has historically marked cycle bottoms and preceded strong recoveries.
The chart shows a sustained decline from September 2025, steepening through November and December, with the ratio reaching near 1.15 in January 2026 before a partial recovery. Entering the deep value zone would require an additional drawdown of approximately 20% from current levels near $68,800, pushing Bitcoin toward $55,000. While the current cycle has not yet seen capitulation into this zone (unlike the 2020 and 2022 cycles), quantitative analyst Juhani Savonen identifies the approaching zone alongside recovering global liquidity as an attractive setup for long-term investors.
The analysis cautions that approaching the zone is not the same as reaching it, with persistent geopolitical risks and macro headwinds from rising bond yields potentially allowing the descent to continue before a reversal.
