FTSE 100 Edges Lower as Cooler UK Inflation Tempers BoE Rate Hike Bets

4 hour ago 1 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Easing UK rate-hike fears could weaken sterling, potentially boosting Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
  • Soft inflation and paused tightening cycle support risk-on sentiment, benefiting altcoins like Ethereum if equity rallies persist.
  • Watch for a FTSE 100 breakout toward its yearly high, signaling renewed risk appetite that may lift crypto correlations.

The FTSE 100 index drifted lower on Wednesday as traders digested the latest UK inflation numbers and awaited the Bank of England’s interest rate decision. The benchmark fell 0.14% to 10,479.77, while the domestically focused FTSE 250 declined 0.4%. Consumer staples, utilities, and energy stocks exerted the most pressure.

Official data showed Britain’s Consumer Prices Index rose 2.8% year-on-year in May, unchanged from April and below the 3.0% consensus. Monthly CPIH growth held at 0.2%. The softer print prompted markets to scale back expectations of a rate increase later this year. Bond yields fell, with the five-year gilt yield hitting its lowest since mid-April, and sterling dipped to 1.3300 against a strengthening dollar.

Meanwhile, UK house prices recorded their strongest annual gain in over a year, rising 3.8% in the year to April 2026, which lifted homebuilder stocks. Banking shares also found support: Barclays rose 2% after BofA upgraded its price target, and Standard Chartered added 1.3%.

The BoE is widely expected to keep rates at 3.75%, mirroring the Federal Reserve’s recent hold. Markets are split on whether further tightening is needed, with Polymarket assigning a 100% probability to no change at the upcoming meeting but a 59% chance of a hike later in the year. From a technical standpoint, the FTSE 100 has formed a small inverted head-and-shoulders pattern above its 50-day moving average, with the RSI above 50, suggesting a potential move toward the year’s high of 10,945.

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