The crypto market extended its recovery on July 21, 2026, with institutional demand and legislative optimism fueling gains. Bitcoin climbed 1.53% to $66,436.18, while Solana traded at $77.79 despite a 24% drop in daily volume. The rally was supported by a fifth consecutive day of net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling roughly $727 million over the streak. Whale wallets also accumulated aggressively, and Senator Kevin Cramer stated that the crypto market structure bill — widely known as the CLARITY Act — is close to passing.
Against this backdrop, AI models from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok have issued price projections for Bitcoin and Solana, respectively, under the assumption the legislation becomes law later in 2026.
Bitcoin – Claude AI's Outlook
Claude AI outlined three scenarios for Bitcoin. In the most bullish “regulatory unlock” case, BTC could soar to $85,000–$110,000 or higher within weeks or months of passage, fueled by pent-up institutional capital and continued ETF inflows. The base case, which assumes much of the good news is already priced in, sees Bitcoin trading in a $68,000–$78,000 range — a modest 5–15% gain — before profit-taking sets in. If the bill is delayed past the August recess, Claude expects a short-term drop to $50,000–$60,000, followed by a recovery toward $75,000–$95,000 once clarity emerges. The model emphasized that ETF flows, whale buying, and regulatory developments will remain the dominant drivers.
Solana – Grok AI's Projections
Grok AI similarly delivered a three-tier forecast for Solana. In its bullish scenario, SOL would break above $79–$85 resistance to reach $100–$120 within one to four weeks, then extend toward $150–$200+ over three to six months as ETF approvals and DeFi expansion accelerate. The base case targets $130–$180 by year-end, powered by record stablecoin issuance (the network's stablecoin market cap just surpassed $15 billion) and rising institutional interest. Grok's cautious outlook anticipates a sell-the-news reaction that temporarily pushes SOL to $85–$95 before a retest of the $70–$80 support zone, with a subsequent recovery to $110–$150 by the close of 2026.
For Solana, the CLARITY Act could be transformative. It would place spot markets under CFTC oversight, removing a key obstacle to a spot Solana ETF — a product that Morgan Stanley has already filed for with a low 0.14% fee and staking rewards. The bill also includes protections for open-source developers and validators, championed by the Solana Policy Institute, which would give the network a more stable legal foundation.
Both AI models highlighted that institutional flows, regulatory clarity, and macro correlations will ultimately dictate the next major price movements for Bitcoin and Solana.
