Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer Sees Bitcoin at $300,000 by 2029 If $86,000 Breaks

1 hour ago 2 sources positive

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin's $300K path hinges on ETF inflows, making institutional demand the real catalyst to watch.
  • Until BTC clears $86K, treat Fidelity's $300K call as scenario, not trade signal.
  • Weak spot ETF demand could cap BTC upside; monitor inflows for institutional conviction.

A prominent analyst at Fidelity, Jurrien Timmer, has outlined a long-term bullish scenario in which Bitcoin could climb to $300,000 by 2029, a move that would represent a potential upside of about 266% from current trading levels.

The forecast is not unconditional. Timmer stressed that Bitcoin must build stronger momentum above the $86,000 resistance zone. Until that level is decisively cleared, the recovery path remains uncertain and the bullish target stays more of a longer-term possibility than an active trend.

One of the main risks cited is weak demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. According to the analysis, subdued ETF inflows could undermine the momentum needed to clear $86,000 and threaten the broader bullish recovery scenario. The note highlights that institutional flows through ETFs remain a key variable for Bitcoin's next major leg higher.

The $300,000 target reflects a high-conviction, multi-year outlook from Fidelity's research team, but it also depends on Bitcoin regaining technical strength and sustained investor appetite.

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