Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $90,000 level after a sharp decline from its all-time high near $106,000 to as low as $80,600, with current trading around $87,000. This correction has fueled bearish sentiment, but on-chain data reveals a divide: whale cohorts holding over 10,000 BTC and retail wallets have been net sellers, while mid-sized holders (10–100 BTC and 100–1,000 BTC ranges) are accumulating, pushing accumulator-address demand to a record 365,000 BTC.
Analyst Darkfost highlights a key shift in derivatives markets, where funding rates have turned negative, indicating trader capitulation and short-side dominance. On exchanges like Binance, the neutral funding level is around 0.01%, so dips below this signal aggressive short positioning. This behavioral change often precedes market inflection points, with historical patterns suggesting it could lead to a short squeeze if Bitcoin grinds higher while shorts pile in.
Liquidation data supports this scenario, with long liquidations totaling $2.6 billion near $80,000 and short liquidations surging to $8.4 billion around $98,000. Key resistance levels at $94,000, $98,000, and $110,000 are now focal points for potential price moves. Despite the downtrend, with BTC below key moving averages, the stabilization above $85,000 hints at consolidation, and a sustained move above the 100-day average could signal renewed bullish momentum.
