Monero Price Analysis: Conflicting Signals Emerge as Technical Patterns Point to Potential Volatility

Monero (XMR) is at the center of conflicting technical analyses, with one perspective highlighting a bullish accumulation pattern and another warning of a bearish reversal. A crypto analyst known as make sense on X has identified a repeating pattern on the XMR chart where price compression near a rising channel's support line has historically preceded rallies. The analyst notes that a new 'compression pocket' is forming, mirroring earlier phases that led to breakouts, with a potential target near $460 if the pattern holds. At the time of writing, XMR was trading around $406.

Supporting this view, daily momentum indicators from Investing.com, including an RSI of 55.01 and a MACD reading of 14.942, suggest a balanced market with steady bullish pressure building, which aligns with an accumulation phase.

Conversely, a separate technical analysis points to a bearish double top formation at the $438 resistance level. This pattern, combined with a confirmed breakdown from a rising wedge structure, signals a shift in momentum with sellers gaining control. The analysis suggests the next major support lies in the $319 to $313 region. This bearish outlook is further supported by a reported sector rotation, with traders allegedly favoring other privacy tokens like GHOST over Monero and ZCash.

The conflicting signals create an uncertain short-term outlook for XMR, with the market poised between a potential bullish breakout from a historical pattern and a bearish continuation toward key support levels.