Analysts Clash on XRP's SuperTrend Signal: Bearish Sell vs. Bullish Retest Setup

1 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Conflicting signals highlight XRP's technical uncertainty, requiring caution despite bullish MACD indicators.
  • XRP's underperformance versus broader market suggests weak fundamentals may override technical breakout setups.
  • Watch for a decisive break above $2.94 to confirm bullish reversal; failure could extend consolidation.

Conflicting technical analyses have emerged regarding XRP's price trajectory, with prominent crypto analysts offering divergent interpretations of the same SuperTrend indicator. The debate centers on whether the cryptocurrency is entering a bearish phase or preparing for a significant bullish rally.

Analyst Ali Martinez shared a weekly XRP price chart on X, highlighting that the asset's weekly SuperTrend has formed a sell signal. The chart shows that XRP's price was above the SuperTrend line throughout 2025, indicating a bullish trend from the indicator's perspective. However, the coin ended the year with a reversal in the SuperTrend and has since remained under the trendline. "I'm hearing about a $XRP super cycle..." Martinez wrote, referencing recent online chatter about a sustained period of expansion for the asset. The SuperTrend indicator, which uses the Average True Range (ATR) to gauge volatility, suggests that a bullish regime is no longer dominant for XRP.

This bearish signal contrasts sharply with the analysis from ChartNerd, a well-known technical analysis expert. ChartNerd's breakdown indicates that XRP's current price action is influenced by two key technical indicators: the SuperTrend and the MACD. The analysis notes that XRP has witnessed two bearish trend flips on its weekly SuperTrend in the last 18 months. Rather than being a purely bearish signal, ChartNerd suggests these flips are often followed by price rallies.

ChartNerd predicts that XRP will retest the SuperTrend level at $2.94 in the coming weeks, which could act as a trigger for a price surge toward the $2.70–$2.90 range. This bullish outlook is further supported by the MACD indicator forming a Golden Cross, which occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, typically indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The confluence of the SuperTrend retest and the Golden Cross suggests XRP could be setting up for a breakout.

Meanwhile, XRP's price performance has been lackluster compared to the broader market. While most of the digital asset sector enjoyed an uptick during the past week, XRP is underwater with its price down 2% to $2.07. The contrasting analyses leave traders and investors watching closely to see which technical narrative will prevail in the coming weeks.

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