Bitcoin Whale Deposits $20.6M to Binance, Realizing Heavy Losses After 2025 Accumulation

4 hour ago 5 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Whale's realized loss signals capitulation risk amid Bitcoin's 45% decline from ATH.
  • Contrast with MicroStrategy's institutional buying reveals deep market sentiment divide.
  • Monitor remaining 200 BTC for potential selling pressure near $69k resistance.

A major Bitcoin holder, identified by the wallet address bc1quz, has broken a year-long dormancy by transferring 300 BTC, valued at approximately $20.61 million, to the Binance exchange. This move has sparked market attention as large deposits to centralized exchanges are commonly interpreted as a precursor to selling activity.

The whale's position was accumulated during a bullish period in early 2025. Between January 11 and March 2, 2025, the wallet purchased Bitcoin daily, amassing a total of 513 BTC. The total cost of this accumulation was around $50.06 million, resulting in an average entry price of roughly $97,542 per BTC.

With Bitcoin's price currently trading near $69,000, this strategy has resulted in significant losses. Based on the average purchase price, the unrealized and now potentially realized loss on the transferred coins is estimated at $14.76 million. The wallet still holds approximately 200 BTC, worth about $13.75 million.

This event underscores that even large-scale investors, or 'whales', are not immune to poor market timing. The whale's aggressive buying near a market peak has become costly as prices failed to sustain those levels. Analysts and traders are now monitoring whether the remaining 200 BTC will also be moved to an exchange, which could signal continued selling pressure.

The news comes amid a shaky period for Bitcoin, which is down more than 45% from its all-time high and facing volatility exacerbated by bearish macroeconomic factors, including geopolitical tensions. The activity contrasts with continued institutional buying from firms like MicroStrategy, highlighting a divided market sentiment.

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