Bitcoin Drops Below $81,000 as Analyst Predicts $88,000 on Spot Demand

1 hour ago 1 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Spot demand resilience suggests the breakdown is a liquidity test, not a structural shift.
  • Weak hands selling into institutional absorption historically precedes bullish continuation.
  • Macro headwinds pose risk; reclaiming $81k crucial to avoid deeper $78k correction.

Bitcoin fell below the crucial $81,000 psychological support level on Sunday, trading at $80,984.05 on the Binance USDT pair, as renewed selling pressure took hold. The move breaks a multi-week consolidation range between $82,000 and $85,000 and comes amid a tick-up in trading volume on major exchanges, signaling active participation rather than a low-liquidity slide. Macroeconomic concerns, including Federal Reserve interest rate uncertainty and persistent inflation, continue to weigh on risk assets. On-chain data shows short-term holders moving coins to exchanges—behavior often tied to profit-taking or stop-loss triggers—while institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed over the past week, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index edging lower.

In stark contrast, a fresh forecast from Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, sets a price target of $88,000 based on robust spot market demand. Thielen called the broader rally “structurally healthy,” backed by steady ETF inflows, strengthening mining stocks, and a positive options market. Unlike leverage-fueled surges that are prone to sharp liquidations, he emphasized that genuine buying pressure from institutional and retail investors absorbing available supply is creating a more sustainable upward trajectory. The analysis implies that the dip below $81,000 may represent a short-term liquidity grab rather than the onset of a deeper correction.

For traders, the key level to watch is whether Bitcoin can reclaim $81,000 on a daily close; failure to do so could open a test of the $78,000–$80,000 support zone. Longer-term investors might view the current price as a buying opportunity if spot demand fundamentals persist. As always, Bitcoin’s volatility demands a clear strategy, with potential catalysts including ETF flows and macro developments likely to shape the next major move.

Previously on the topic:
May 4, 2026, 11:07 a.m.
Bitcoin Tests $80K Resistance in Critical Breakout Attempt
Sources
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