White House Denial of Iran MOU Report Hits Bitcoin and XRP Prices

2 hour ago 3 sources negative

Key takeaways:

  • Geopolitical uncertainty from the Iran deal denial may prolong crypto's risk-off pattern, stalling recovery.
  • Bitcoin's positive funding rates amid waning buy volume create a liquidation risk below $74,000.
  • XRP's exhausted MVRV suggests a contrarian bounce; watch $1.336 resistance for confirmation.

The White House has rejected an Iranian state media report claiming a draft memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran, injecting fresh uncertainty into global markets and pressuring crypto assets. A rapid response post on X labeled the report “not true” and the circulated draft a “complete fabrication.”

Iranian state television had alleged terms including U.S. military withdrawal from the region, a lifted naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, and a restoration of commercial shipping within one month. The report came as Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed ongoing negotiations in Qatar and stressed the Strait’s reopening remains non-negotiable, calling current restrictions unlawful and unsustainable.

Oil prices initially slipped on the unverified report, with U.S. crude falling below $89 per barrel, but the White House denial added doubt about whether the decline reflected genuine progress. Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, have been highly sensitive to the U.S.-Iran talks, as a durable settlement could ease oil costs and inflation fears.

Bitcoin traded near $74,945, down 2.88% intraday after briefly breaking below the $75,000 level, its seven-day low. The failure to reclaim the $78,500–$80,000 resistance zone leaves the market fragile. Binance funding rates remain positive, signaling excessive long leverage, while taker buy volume has waned — creating a setup vulnerable to forced liquidations if $74,000 breaks.

XRP hovered around $1.332, with a TD Sequential buy signal on the four-hour chart hinting at a possible rebound toward $1.35. On-chain data shows XRP’s 30-day MVRV has dropped to its lowest level since December 2020, reflecting heavy short-term seller exhaustion. Immediate resistance sits at $1.336; a close above could open a path to $1.346 and $1.370.

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