Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale at 20% Loss Puts Binance Cost Basis in Spotlight, Says CryptoQuant

2 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Binance's $60,900 realized price is critical support; a breakdown could fuel sell-offs.
  • Strategy's forced sale reveals corporate treasury liquidity risks, not a bearish outlook.
  • Diverging cost bases highlight on-chain realized prices as better market indicators than nominal holdings.

Recent Bitcoin transactions by business intelligence firm Strategy have exposed a stark contrast between its average acquisition cost and the realized price of Bitcoin held on Binance, as highlighted by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost. The company sold 3,588 BTC for approximately $216 million earlier this week, booking an estimated 20% loss after acquiring those coins at an average price of $75,476 while prices hovered near the $60,000 mark.

Despite the sale, Strategy remains the largest known corporate Bitcoin holder with 843,775 BTC, surpassing Binance’s exchange reserves of 656,561 BTC. However, Darkfost noted that the comparison becomes meaningful only when looking at average cost bases. Binance’s realized price—the average acquisition price of Bitcoin in its wallets—stands at about $60,900, remarkably close to current market levels, whereas Strategy’s average cost is significantly higher. This means most of Binance’s Bitcoin reserves are near breakeven, while Strategy sits on deeper unrealized losses.

CryptoQuant data further shows that Binance controls nearly 30% of all Bitcoin held on centralized exchanges, which collectively custody around 8 million BTC. The analyst stressed that the two entities manage Bitcoin for different purposes: Strategy treats it as a long-term treasury asset, while Binance mostly holds customer deposits and provides trading liquidity. The sale was driven by Strategy’s need to fund dividend payments tied to its Digital Credit securities, not a bearish market conviction.

Darkfost warned that sustained trading below Binance’s realized price could increase selling pressure as more exchange-held coins move into losses. The situation underscores that sheer Bitcoin ownership does not dictate market strength; cost basis relative to price is a critical metric.

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