Dogecoin Nears Final Support Test as TD Sequential Buy Signal Sparks Rebound Hopes

1 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • DOGE's technical buy signal lacks bullish conviction unless price reclaims the $0.10 psychological resistance.
  • A monthly close below $0.056 could invalidate the reversal setup, accelerating decline toward sub-$0.05 levels.
  • Dogecoin's performance may diverge from bitcoin if meme coin hype does not return, raising sector rotation risk.

Dogecoin is approaching a critical long-term support zone, with analysts pointing to a potential rebound if the $0.056 level holds. A monthly TD Sequential buy signal has appeared, suggesting that the prolonged decline may be losing momentum. According to analyst Ali Martinez, sustaining above $0.056 could open a path toward $0.16, while a longer-term projection remains near $0.45 if the broader channel resistance is breached.

Another analyst, XForceGlobal, highlights a multiyear contracting triangle pattern on the weekly chart, where DOGE is testing the rising lower boundary that has been intact since the 2022 market low. The Elliott Wave interpretation suggests the price could complete several internal swings before any breakout, but the bullish scenario relies on holding above the invalidation level near $0.05. A decisive weekly breakdown below that area would invalidate the triangle setup and expose Dogecoin to a deeper correction.

For now, Dogecoin is at a "last stand" support area rather than confirming a new uptrend. A recovery above $0.10 would be the first indication of buyer strength, followed by resistance around $0.18 and $0.24. Sustained trading above $0.16 could reinforce the positive view and shift attention toward higher channel targets. However, failure to hold $0.056 on a monthly close would weaken the buy signal and may lead to further declines below the current structure.

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