Analyst Says XRP’s Greatest Rallies Follow 70-90% Bear Markets

2 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • XRP's prolonged underperformance mirrors past accumulation phases, potentially setting up a catch-up rally.
  • Bitcoin's dominance cycle suggests XRP's strongest gains may appear only after BTC's peak nears.
  • Profit-takers should watch for Bitcoin peak timing, as XRP cycle tops historically align with BTC.

Crypto analyst ChartNerd has outlined the historical conditions that he believes have consistently produced XRP’s strongest rally opportunities. In a recent analysis, he argued that the greatest gains for the asset have materialized only after extended periods of deep price declines and prolonged sideways accumulation, while Bitcoin outperformed the broader market.

According to ChartNerd, the most powerful XRP rallies were forged when the token witnessed 70% to 90% bear markets followed by lengthy range-bound accumulation phases and a significant lag behind Bitcoin. He emphasized that these phases should be viewed as accumulation rather than permanent weakness, noting that they have historically laid the groundwork for substantial catch-up moves.

The analysis included a multi-year chart comparing Bitcoin and XRP across cycles dating back to 2013. In both the 2013–2017 and 2017–2021 cycles, Bitcoin recovered first and reached new highs, while XRP remained under pressure or traded in a multi-year range before eventually delivering its strongest rallies. ChartNerd also highlighted that XRP’s cycle peaks have historically aligned with Bitcoin’s peaks, typically occurring within a few months.

Looking at the current cycle, ChartNerd believes the situation mirrors earlier patterns. Bitcoin has already recovered from its latest bear market and hit new highs, while XRP has spent years moving within a broad range. The analysis includes a projected path for another possible expansion phase, though the analyst stressed that this represents historical behavior rather than a guaranteed price prediction.

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