Gram (prev. Toncoin) price prediction remains bearish below $1.35, the level GRAM needs to clear to break out of its falling wedge. The base case for year-end 2026 is $1.25, with a longer-term target of $2.40 by 2030. According to the analysis, GRAM could end 2026 between $0.80 and $1.70, with the bull case requiring a close above the wedge line near $1.35 and a push through the 200-day EMA at $1.4614 toward the $1.72 September high. A close below $1.00 would put the $0.80 level in play.
Despite the cautious price outlook, Telegram founder Pavel Durov said more than 1 million Gram wallets were activated within 48 hours, reinforcing his ambition to make Gram a top-3 cryptocurrency. However, Bitcoin.com data shows only about 178,000 of 2.85 million Telegram wallets, roughly 6%, hold a balance. This gap underscores that wallet activations have not yet translated into widespread on-chain usage or sustained demand.
On November 13, GRAM dropped roughly 6% despite Durov's bullish prediction. The token now faces immediate support at $1.10; if that level fails, GRAM risks retesting $1.00. The convergence of technical resistance, bearish price structure, and early-stage adoption metrics suggests near-term downside risk remains elevated unless GRAM can reclaim the falling wedge and hold above the 200-day EMA.
