Prominent US investment management firm VanEck has announced it will not release cryptocurrency price predictions for 2026, citing significant misses on its aggressive 2025 forecasts. The firm delivered its decision in a brief social media statement: "No predictions for 2026. Good luck to everyone!"
VanEck's decision stems from its failed 2025 predictions, which anticipated a "supercycle" that would reach enormous peaks in the fourth quarter. Instead of the projected rally, Q4 2025 has brought a sharp market correction. The firm had predicted Bitcoin would reach $180,000, Ethereum $6,000, and Solana $500 during 2025.
As mid-December 2025 approaches, the reality starkly contrasts with these forecasts. Bitcoin is trading around $86,000—less than half the $180,000 target. Ethereum struggles to maintain the $3,000 level, far from the predicted $6,000. Solana trades near $130, approximately 300% below its $500 prediction.
VanEck's 2025 outlook relied on expectations of massive institutional capital inflows and decentralized application adoption that failed to materialize at the projected scale. While Bitcoin saw strength earlier in the year, the anticipated Q4 rally transformed into a significant correction. The firm reportedly decided against issuing new forecasts to maintain its credibility in the market.