Opinion Labs Surpasses $13M in Fees as Coinbase Expands Regulated Prediction Markets Nationwide

6 hour ago 5 sources positive

Key takeaways:

  • Opinion Labs' rapid fee growth signals a shift towards value-capture models in decentralized prediction markets, potentially boosting BNB Chain's utility.
  • Coinbase's nationwide rollout of regulated prediction markets could attract traditional capital, increasing demand for USD Coin (USDC) as a settlement asset.
  • The dual expansion highlights a bifurcating market, with on-chain platforms like Opinion Labs competing on innovation and centralized ones like Coinbase on regulatory access.

Opinion Labs has rapidly emerged as a top earner in the decentralized prediction market sector, generating over $13 million in total fees since its October 2025 launch on BNB Chain. Data shared by Coin Bureau shows the platform's monthly fees have surged, exceeding $300,000 by January 2026. This growth, driven by strong user demand and AI-assisted forecasting tools, contrasts with the model of competitors like Polymarket, which focuses on volume over direct fee capture. Opinion Labs has also secured significant backing, including a $5 million seed round and additional multi-million-dollar investments announced in December 2025.

In a parallel development, Coinbase has expanded its regulated prediction markets feature to users in all 50 U.S. states, following a limited pilot launch in late 2025. The feature, powered by the U.S.-regulated platform Kalshi, allows users to trade yes-or-no contracts on real-world events in sports, politics, and economics—including Federal Reserve decisions—directly within the Coinbase app using USD or USD Coin. This nationwide rollout represents a strategic move by Coinbase to diversify its product offerings within U.S. regulatory boundaries, positioning itself as a comprehensive financial platform.

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