Crypto analyst Austin has sparked anticipation among XRP investors by predicting the next major parabolic price surge for the token could commence as early as May 2026. His analysis is based on a detailed study of XRP's historical market cycles, which he believes are repeating.
Austin's cycle analysis compares two major periods. The first cycle, from November 2013 to March 2017, saw XRP consolidate for 172 weeks within a contracting triangle pattern before breaking out. The subsequent cycle, beginning in 2017, exhibited a similar triangular pattern but took a significantly longer 357 weeks to break out—more than double the duration of the first. Austin attributes this extended consolidation to the market requiring more preparation time.
The analyst notes that after the 2017 breakout, XRP experienced a parabolic price rise lasting 38 weeks. Applying this pattern to the current cycle, which saw a breakout in November 2024, Austin calculates that the next parabolic surge should begin approximately 79 weeks later, pointing to May 2026 as the potential start date for a major upward movement.
Separately, finance expert Coach JV weighed in on XRP's prospects, highlighting regulatory developments as a key factor. He pointed to the prolonged Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit and slow legislative progress on bills like the Clarity Act and the GENIUS Act as sources of uncertainty that have kept large institutional capital on the sidelines. Coach JV emphasized that clearer regulations could unlock significant institutional investment, as decisions hinge on legal safety, custody solutions, and liquidity.
Coach JV also cautioned investors about market noise and misinformation, advocating for a disciplined, plan-based investment approach. He revealed his personal strategy involves "disciplined accumulation" of assets like Bitcoin and XRP during price dips. Ultimately, he and other market watchers believe that for XRP to decouple from broader crypto market movements, it will require not just regulatory clarity but also tangible, real-world adoption by banks and payment firms for settlement and other use cases.
