Prominent crypto chart analysts are highlighting that XRP is nearing a critical technical inflection point after nearly a decade of consolidation, with predictions of a significant volatility expansion within the next three months. Analyst CryptoBull (@CryptoBull2020) projects that XRP is positioned for a "surprise move" in the coming quarter, pointing to long-term compression patterns tightening simultaneously on both the XRP/USD and XRP/BTC charts.
On the three-day XRP/USD chart, price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, a region historically associated with volatility compression phases that later transitioned into strong upward expansions, similar to the 2017 rally. The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands suggests a reduced volatility environment, which often precedes a decisive breakout.
More notably, the XRP/BTC monthly chart reveals nearly 9 years of compression within a symmetrical triangle structure. This pattern is formed by descending resistance from the 2017 peak and rising support from subsequent cycle lows. Price action is now approaching the apex of this triangle, where extended consolidations typically resolve. A confirmed breakout above resistance would signal relative strength against Bitcoin, while a rejection could extend the multi-year underperformance trend.
Separately, analyst EGRAG CRYPTO maintains that despite recent volatility, the broader technical structure for XRP remains intact. EGRAG's chart outlines a massive symmetrical triangle spanning nearly seven years, with the upper boundary connecting lower highs from the 2018 top and the lower boundary linking higher lows since 2020. The compression has intensified as XRP approached a projected breakout window between 2024 and 2025.
The analysis includes Fibonacci extension levels highlighting potential upside targets at $1.618, $2.272, and $3.618, which historically align with prior XRP expansions. The chart also illustrates a structured pullback scenario, with an anticipated retest area between the $0.618 and $0.702 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Despite the bullish technical projections, community reactions are mixed. Some traders have resurfaced past forecasts from the same analysts, including a February 2021 post outlining XRP targets between $10 and $30 that did not materialize. Others express caution, noting that macro risks such as geopolitical tensions and shifting liquidity conditions could override technical setups. Market participants are now closely watching for volume expansion, sustained higher timeframe closes, and broader Bitcoin dominance shifts as potential confirmation signals for the long-awaited breakout.