Crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto has set out a long-term technical framework for XRP, arguing that the asset’s current pullback may represent a macro accumulation zone rather than the start of a deeper breakdown. In a post on X on August 12, 2026, EGRAG pointed to XRP’s three-month chart as the key timeframe, where a large symmetrical triangle retest is aligning with Fibonacci support and the nine-period EMA.
According to the analysis, XRP’s triangle structure developed over several years. A descending trendline connects the 2018 peak region, while rising support links lows from later market cycles. After breaking above the upper boundary of the triangle, XRP has since retreated toward the former resistance area. EGRAG views this as a potential breakout retest, with the $0.85 to $1 support zone critical for preserving the bullish macro setup.
The three-month nine EMA adds another layer of significance because each candle represents one quarter. As a result, the indicator reflects roughly 27 months of XRP price behavior, giving a broader perspective than shorter moving averages. EGRAG highlighted the interaction with this EMA as a central feature of the chart.
Fibonacci levels on the analysis include $0.97, $1.68, $2.15, $3.41, $9.79, $15.39, and approximately $30.40. While upper targets suggest significant upside, EGRAG emphasized that XRP would need to clear several resistance zones before those levels become technically relevant. Holding the triangle retest and the broader $0.85–$1 support area would support the argument that XRP remains in an accumulation structure, while sustained weakness beneath that zone would weaken the higher Fibonacci projections.
The analyst’s tweet framed the setup as a choice between a deep retracement or macro accumulation before expansion. The chart also compares current conditions with historical XRP phases that produced large moves after extended consolidation.