Tom Lee's Crypto Stock Ranking Shows AI Pivot Is Breaking Bitcoin Correlation

1 hour ago 2 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • Miners' AI pivot decouples them from BTC, making Strategy the purest proxy.
  • High Bitcoin correlation no longer guarantees equity outperformance, as Strategy's drawdown shows.
  • Investors should classify miners as infrastructure plays, not direct crypto exposure.

Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee published a ranking of 17 large-cap crypto-linked equities with market capitalizations above $2 billion, measuring their 90-day rolling correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum against the performance of BlackRock’s exchange-traded funds. The findings reveal a growing split between corporate Bitcoin treasuries and mining companies that are shifting toward artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Strategy registered the highest Bitcoin correlation at 78%, making it the clearest large-cap equity proxy for the cryptocurrency. On the Ethereum side, BitMine Immersion Technologies led with an 80% correlation, followed by Coinbase at 74%.

Mining companies showed much weaker links to Bitcoin. Core Scientific recorded just 16%, Cipher Mining 17%, TeraWulf 18%, and Hut 8 19%. Riot Platforms posted 31%, while IREN reached 33%.

The divergence is increasingly visible in financial statements. Core Scientific reported $164.2 million in second-quarter revenue, of which $136.7 million came from AI colocation and high-performance computing services, compared with only $21.5 million from self-mining. TeraWulf generated $21 million from HPC leasing and $13 million from digital asset mining in its May reporting period. IREN’s March quarter showed $111.2 million from Bitcoin mining and $33.6 million from AI cloud services, putting AI at roughly 23% of total sales.

The structural takeaway from the ranking is that lower AI revenue share tends to mean higher Bitcoin correlation. However, the pivot has been costly: MARA and CleanSpark accumulated combined losses of $851 million during their infrastructure adaptation processes. Meanwhile, a high correlation did not guarantee positive equity returns. Strategy traded near $118.86 at the close of the session, far below its 52-week high of $365.21.

For investors, mining stocks increasingly look like an infrastructure trade built around megawatts, GPUs and long-duration computing contracts, while Strategy remains the more direct corporate Bitcoin exposure.

Previously on the topic:
Aug 17, 2026, 7:07 p.m.
Tom Lee: Ethereum Is Approaching Major Ichimoku Breakout
Disclaimer

The content on this website is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or professional consultation. Crypto assets are high-risk and volatile — you may lose all funds. Some materials may include summaries and links to third-party sources; we are not responsible for their content or accuracy. Any decisions you make are at your own risk. Coinalertnews recommends independently verifying information and consulting with a professional before making any financial decisions based on this content.