Standard Chartered has issued an aggressive long-term forecast for Arbitrum’s ARB token, projecting a climb to $10 by the end of 2030 from roughly $0.13–$0.14. The bank’s Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, expects ARB to reach $0.50 by late 2026, $1.50 in 2027, $3.50 in 2028, and $6.50 in 2029 before hitting the decade-end target. A move to $10 would represent an increase of about 70 times current levels, and Standard Chartered also expects ARB to outperform Bitcoin and Ether over the same horizon, with the bank projecting Bitcoin at $500,000 and Ether at $40,000 by 2030.
The bullish case leans heavily on Robinhood Chain, which launched July 1, 2026 using Arbitrum’s technology stack. Under the Arbitrum Expansion Program, external chains contribute 10% of net protocol revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem—8% to the DAO treasury and 2% to developers. Token Terminal reported that Robinhood Chain generated $43.2 million in revenue in the 30 days through September 18, 2026. Standard Chartered also sees tokenized real-world assets growing from roughly $340 billion today to $4 trillion by the end of 2028, potentially expanding demand for Arbitrum infrastructure.
However, a separate analysis cautions that the reported revenue does not automatically become ARB income. Not all of the $43.2 million may translate into the 10% ecosystem share because the agreement applies to net protocol revenue, and analytics providers can treat fees and costs differently. Robinhood Chain also uses ETH as its gas token, meaning higher transaction activity does not directly force users to buy ARB. ARB holders receive governance power over the DAO treasury, not automatic distributions, buybacks, or burns. The report suggests the 45% seven-day rally to about $0.21–$0.23 may be pricing in a future value-capture mechanism that does not yet exist.
Technical levels are in focus after ARB touched $0.23 and pulled back toward $0.21. The $0.21–$0.23 area acted as support in late 2025 before ARB’s decline below $0.10 in 2026, and it may now act as resistance. A daily close above $0.23 would clear the former floor, while holding around $0.20 could preserve the advance. Losing $0.17 or $0.15 would weaken the recovery structure. The key tests ahead are whether Robinhood Chain’s daily revenue stabilizes after its initial surge and whether the Arbitrum DAO creates a clearer connection between ecosystem income and the ARB token.
