XRP Holds $1.30 Support as ETF Inflows Fail to Halt Bearish Pullback

1 hour ago 4 sources neutral

Key takeaways:

  • XRP ETF inflows resuming after brief outflows signal cautious institutional dip-buying despite broader market weakness.
  • XRP wallet growth and exchange outflows suggest accumulation, but Binance large deposits signal potential selling.
  • XRP's narrowing MACD histogram hints at fading downside, but $1.30 support remains critical to hold.

XRP traded around $1.32 on Friday after defending the $1.30 support level over the previous 24 hours. The token's recovery attempts toward $1.40 stalled amid broader market weakness, with Bitcoin falling below $82,000 and Ethereum retreating toward $2,400. XRP has lost roughly 18% over the past month after pulling back from October highs near $1.60.

US-listed spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded about $709,000 in net inflows on Wednesday and another $3.55 million on Thursday, according to SoSoValue. Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ accounted for Thursday’s reported buying, while Bitwise saw approximately $1.55 million in withdrawals. The two-day recovery followed a difficult week in which XRP ETFs posted outflows of approximately $1.84 million, ending a 13-week inflow streak. Cumulative net inflows remained around $1.7 billion to $1.8 billion, while the products held about $1.6 billion in net assets.

On-chain data offered mixed signals. Santiment reported the XRP Ledger reached a record 8.24 million non-empty wallets, with 4,772 new wallets created in a single day — the fifth-largest daily reading since March. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain estimated that around 5.3 billion XRP left centralized exchanges over 30 days, including 2.206 billion from Binance, 501.51 million from OKX and 479.94 million from Bybit. However, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted the monthly average value of large XRP deposits to Binance reached $112.4 million, its highest level since March, raising concerns about potential exchange-side selling.

Separately, the XRP Ledger’s fixCleanup3_4_0 amendment was postponed after validator support temporarily fell below the required activation threshold. Support dropped to 26 validators before recovering to 31, resetting the amendment’s mandatory two-week approval period. With 35 validators in the default trusted set, at least 29 must maintain more than 80% support throughout the 14-day countdown. The patch addresses a token-creation loophole and aspects of lending-code behavior.

From a technical standpoint, XRP remains below the 100-day EMA near $1.34, while the 50-day and 200-day EMAs form resistance around $1.37–$1.38. The daily RSI is near 42–43, and the MACD remains negative, although the histogram is narrowing. Analysts identify $1.30 as the immediate support to defend; below that, $1.2461 and $1.20 become relevant. A sustained move above $1.40 could open a path toward $1.50, with longer-term targets cited between $1.56 and $1.88. Santiment said a sustained recovery above $1.40 accompanied by daily wallet creation near 4,000 could support a move toward $1.50.

Previously on the topic:
Oct 19, 2026, 3:40 p.m.
XRP Reserves Hit Yearly High as Binance Leverage Unwinds
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