Ethereum Surges 7% Toward $2,500, but a Key Resistance Band Could Stall the Recovery

2 hour ago 2 sources positive

Key takeaways:

  • ETH's rebound hinges on $2,510; a daily close above could spark momentum toward $2,700.
  • Despite the rally, $656M ETF outflows signal institutional caution, making the rebound vulnerable to profit-taking.
  • Watch $2,307-$2,359 support; holding above keeps $2,500 retest alive, while break below $2,226 cancels rebound.

Ethereum has rebounded forcefully, gaining 7.35% intraday to trade near $2,442, up $167 from the previous day according to TradingView’s Binance ETH/USDT chart. The move followed a period of pressure around the 0.500 Fibonacci level near $2,154 and the 200-day simple moving average, with ETH briefly dipping to $2,226 before climbing through the broken zone.

Key technical levels are now in focus. The daily candle cleared the 100-day SMA at $2,359 and stopped just below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement near $2,497, where the 50-day SMA at $2,509 lies only $12 away. The 14-day RSI jumped to 55.57, crossing above both the 50 midline and its signal line, after nearing oversold territory in late October.

Spot ETH ETFs have lost $656 million across seven consecutive sessions, adding a cautious institutional backdrop to the rally. Analysts note that a daily close above $2,510 would clear both the 0.236 level and the 50-day SMA, opening the path toward the $2,700 consolidation area and the cycle peak around $2,803. A rejection inside the $2,495–$2,515 band could instead create a lower high and send ETH back toward $2,307 or the $2,154–$2,158 support cluster.

For now, the rebound is constructive but unconfirmed. Holding above the $2,307–$2,359 zone would keep a second attempt at $2,500 alive, while a daily close below $2,226 would cancel the rebound structure.

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